Thursday, November 7, 2013

City Election Results

The Democrats have taken at least 6 of 9 seats and could get more.  Three wards will have recounts.

Wards 1, 2, 5, and 7 had no Republican opposition.  That is a shame because at least 2 could have been defeated.  In Ward 4, Democrat Nina Dawson was victorious.  In Ward 8, Steve Schabot defeated Ms. Bruck.

Wards 3, 6, and 9 will have recounts.  In ward 3, the unofficial total has:  Will 329, Champ-Doran 290, and Kelder at 30.  There were 142 absentees sent out and thus far approximately 87 have been returned.  Thus, assuming those numbers, Champ-Doran would need 64 out of 87 to win.  (74%).

In ward 6, Ball leads Corcoran unofficially 288-266 with 75 potential absentees.  Thus far, 51 have been received.  They lean Republican (+8).  To win, Corcoran needs 37 of 51 (72.5%).  In reality, this race is separated by 1 vote.  Ball won the Conservative primary by 1 vote.  If Corcoran had won that line (or if he had any help at all from the Republicans at any time during the campaign), he would have won this race.

In ward 9, Debbie Brown leads Johnson by 13 votes with 57 possible absentees (38 received thus far).  The ballots received are Dem +13 which evens it out.  This race will be very close.  To win, Brown needs 13 out of 38 to clinch  (34.2%).  Johnson needs 26 of 38 (68.4%).

These numbers all assume no further ballots received.  As more come in, the numbers change.  Also, this assumes no errors were made tabulating the machine totals.

As more information becomes available on the recounts, I will advise.

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

Reminds me of the old saw:"'If' is the biggest word in the dictionary!!"

Anonymous said...

Rich. I don't know where you get your info. Joe Corcoran had Republican support. His wife was incapacitated for several weeks, so he only campaigned for three weeks. He did very well considering the circumstances.

Johnson Humphrey Democrat said...

Rich,

As a political blogger and as someone who has been around city politics his entire life the story of the night had to be the results in Ward 6. Conventional Wisdom would have believe Ball would have a good night it's clear she did not and the race is undecided and will go to the absentee's. In your view why the closeness of the race? Was it her allegiance to some of the Gallo critic's?

Anonymous said...

So are you saying the City Republicna Chairman did not help Joe Corcoran?

I here your going to be leqving the area?

Anonymous said...

Jeanette Provenzano for county are you kidding me. She is not qualified for this.

Richard T. Cahill Jr. said...

Johnson Humphrey,

I think there were a few reasons. First, her opposition to Gallo did not help. Gallo has a great deal of support in Ward 6.

Second, Joe Corcoran is a good candidate. He is a retired police officer, runs a small business, and grew up in Roosevelt Park.

Third, Elisa has never run well in district 3. The only time she won the district was when she was unopposed.

There are other reasons I am sure. The effect of such a close race may be to prevent her from becoming majority leader. A solid victory would have clinched it.

Richard T. Cahill Jr. said...

8:46,

You hear incorrectly. I am starting a new job in December. The office is located outside Kingston.

I will still be residing in Kingston. I have no plans to leave the area.

Richard T. Cahill Jr. said...

8:46,

See my most recent post.

Anonymous said...

Elephant in the room anyone?
Ball had a close race because of her recent personal life. Let's not pull punches here.

Richard T. Cahill Jr. said...

2:20,

Yes, I considered that. I am just not overly comfortable discussing one's marital problems especially when there are young children involved.

Zac Smith said...

The voters of Ward 6 are fair people. It is unlikely they would vote against someone due to a marriage issue. What they have done or not done for the ward yes. Who they listen/follow yes. But not a private issue.